News

Palo Alto seeks protection against another spike in winter gas bills

New strategy to act as 'insurance' but will add between 4% and 6% to residential bills

Palo Alto utilities workers assess the damage to a gas pipeline. Embarcadero Media file photo by Veronica Weber.

Still haunted by the memories of last winter's sharp spike in gas prices, Palo Alto is preparing to buy some insurance to make sure it doesn't happen again.

The downside of the new strategy, which the City Council's Finance Committee endorsed Tuesday, is higher costs for the city and its customers in the long term. The upside is that cost increases next winter will be capped and customers won't need to worry about their gas bills doubling or tripling like they did between last December and February.

The committee, which consists of Vice Mayor Greer Stone and council members Pat Burt and Julie Lythcott-Haims, supported a proposal from Utilities Department staff to revamp the city's gas-procurement strategy in the winter months.

The current strategy, which has been in place for over a decade, banks on short-term gas purchases with rates tied to the monthly index price, which changes every month, Karla Daley, assistant director at Utilities Department, told the committee.

The council adopted the current policy in 2012, a time when gas was relatively cheap and increasingly ample thanks to fracking. The council then decided to shift from a "laddering" strategy, in which it locked itself to a specific price for several months, to the approach in use today.

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Daley said at Tuesday's meeting that the strategy "cruised along for 10 or 11 years without a whole lot of attention paid to it until January 2023." That's when commodity prices for gas spiked from under $2 per therm to about $4 per therm, forcing the city to raise rates.

The Utilities Department tried to mitigate the damage by tapping into $1.84 million from a reserve, but that did not prevent some customers from seeing wild increases in their bills.

"This was a pretty extreme spike -- nothing like which we saw before," Daley said.

Gas prices are now largely back to where they were before the spike. The council, however, is thinking differently. Council member Julie Lythcott-Haims noted that some of the factors that contributed to last winter's spike -- including Russia's invasion of Ukraine and a cold winter -- may once again be in play at the end of this year.

"We would all feel like fools if this winter the exact thing happens," Lythcott-Haims said.

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The preferred solution is something that utilities officials say is very rarely done: an insurance policy of sorts. The Utilities Department has worked with suppliers to craft policies that would allow the city to cap its costs for gas supply at $2 per therm.

The city would, however, have to pay an adder fee between $0.075 and $0.11 per therm. This would translate to an increase of $3.78 to $5.94 for an average winter residential bill, which is about $99.80.

It would also add between $1.26 and $1.98 an average residential summer bill, which is estimated at $40.52, according to utilities staff.

Unlike car and housing insurance, policies like Palo Alto's proposed gas strategy are pretty rare, according to city staff.

"We had to reach out to suppliers and see if they can structure something for us," said Jason Huang, resource planner at the Utilities Department.

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The new approach, Huang said, would protect both utility reserves and customers from price spikes. The stability, however, will come at a price -- an additional 4% to 6% on the gas bill.

"This is a higher cost in the long run because it is an insurance policy," Huang said.

The committee agreed to advance the new strategy, even as committee members insisted that they do not want to overreact to last year's unprecedented spike. Stone called last winter's increase a "true blip" and said he doesn't like the idea of increasing the average gas bill.

"That's not something we're expecting to see again," Stone said.

But he ultimately agreed with Lythcott-Haims and Burt that the new strategy makes sense. Burt argued that it functions just like every other kind of insurance -- it adds costs but helps mitigate "big hits."

"It's important to remind ourselves in this case of what a crisis it was during this spike and how concerned our ratepayers were and how much it affected their perspective on the performance of our utility, and our local government in general," Burt said.

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Gennady Sheyner
 
Gennady Sheyner covers the City Hall beat in Palo Alto as well as regional politics, with a special focus on housing and transportation. Before joining the Palo Alto Weekly/PaloAltoOnline.com in 2008, he covered breaking news and local politics for the Waterbury Republican-American, a daily newspaper in Connecticut. Read more >>

Follow on Twitter @paloaltoweekly, Facebook and on Instagram @paloaltoonline for breaking news, local events, photos, videos and more.

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Palo Alto seeks protection against another spike in winter gas bills

New strategy to act as 'insurance' but will add between 4% and 6% to residential bills

Still haunted by the memories of last winter's sharp spike in gas prices, Palo Alto is preparing to buy some insurance to make sure it doesn't happen again.

The downside of the new strategy, which the City Council's Finance Committee endorsed Tuesday, is higher costs for the city and its customers in the long term. The upside is that cost increases next winter will be capped and customers won't need to worry about their gas bills doubling or tripling like they did between last December and February.

The committee, which consists of Vice Mayor Greer Stone and council members Pat Burt and Julie Lythcott-Haims, supported a proposal from Utilities Department staff to revamp the city's gas-procurement strategy in the winter months.

The current strategy, which has been in place for over a decade, banks on short-term gas purchases with rates tied to the monthly index price, which changes every month, Karla Daley, assistant director at Utilities Department, told the committee.

The council adopted the current policy in 2012, a time when gas was relatively cheap and increasingly ample thanks to fracking. The council then decided to shift from a "laddering" strategy, in which it locked itself to a specific price for several months, to the approach in use today.

Daley said at Tuesday's meeting that the strategy "cruised along for 10 or 11 years without a whole lot of attention paid to it until January 2023." That's when commodity prices for gas spiked from under $2 per therm to about $4 per therm, forcing the city to raise rates.

The Utilities Department tried to mitigate the damage by tapping into $1.84 million from a reserve, but that did not prevent some customers from seeing wild increases in their bills.

"This was a pretty extreme spike -- nothing like which we saw before," Daley said.

Gas prices are now largely back to where they were before the spike. The council, however, is thinking differently. Council member Julie Lythcott-Haims noted that some of the factors that contributed to last winter's spike -- including Russia's invasion of Ukraine and a cold winter -- may once again be in play at the end of this year.

"We would all feel like fools if this winter the exact thing happens," Lythcott-Haims said.

The preferred solution is something that utilities officials say is very rarely done: an insurance policy of sorts. The Utilities Department has worked with suppliers to craft policies that would allow the city to cap its costs for gas supply at $2 per therm.

The city would, however, have to pay an adder fee between $0.075 and $0.11 per therm. This would translate to an increase of $3.78 to $5.94 for an average winter residential bill, which is about $99.80.

It would also add between $1.26 and $1.98 an average residential summer bill, which is estimated at $40.52, according to utilities staff.

Unlike car and housing insurance, policies like Palo Alto's proposed gas strategy are pretty rare, according to city staff.

"We had to reach out to suppliers and see if they can structure something for us," said Jason Huang, resource planner at the Utilities Department.

The new approach, Huang said, would protect both utility reserves and customers from price spikes. The stability, however, will come at a price -- an additional 4% to 6% on the gas bill.

"This is a higher cost in the long run because it is an insurance policy," Huang said.

The committee agreed to advance the new strategy, even as committee members insisted that they do not want to overreact to last year's unprecedented spike. Stone called last winter's increase a "true blip" and said he doesn't like the idea of increasing the average gas bill.

"That's not something we're expecting to see again," Stone said.

But he ultimately agreed with Lythcott-Haims and Burt that the new strategy makes sense. Burt argued that it functions just like every other kind of insurance -- it adds costs but helps mitigate "big hits."

"It's important to remind ourselves in this case of what a crisis it was during this spike and how concerned our ratepayers were and how much it affected their perspective on the performance of our utility, and our local government in general," Burt said.

Comments

Online Name
Registered user
Embarcadero Oaks/Leland
on Aug 18, 2023 at 9:45 am
Online Name, Embarcadero Oaks/Leland
Registered user
on Aug 18, 2023 at 9:45 am

"New strategy to act as 'insurance' but will add between 4% and 6% to residential bills"

Gotta pay for the StreetSense consultants and for staff to redo the Casti TDM plan because 6.5 years just isn't enough time for staff to follow CC instructions write its own plan and instead let Casti write it for them.


"The city would, however, have to pay an adder fee between $0.075 and $0.11 per therm. This would translate to an increase of $3.78 to $5.94 for an average winter residential bill, which is about $99.80."

Please find us one person / household with a bill under $100. Just one.


Mondoman
Registered user
Green Acres
on Aug 18, 2023 at 10:01 am
Mondoman, Green Acres
Registered user
on Aug 18, 2023 at 10:01 am

Re: "policies like Palo Alto's proposed gas strategy are pretty rare, according to city staff."

Large consumers of products "hedge" their price all the time -- this is a customary strategy in the real world.


Annette
Registered user
College Terrace
on Aug 18, 2023 at 11:02 am
Annette, College Terrace
Registered user
on Aug 18, 2023 at 11:02 am

What is the duration of this "insurance"?

As for Burt's comment about how residents responded to last winter's spike and that it "affected their perspective on the performance of our utility, and our local government in general," I think it important to make clear that residents don't question the utility workers. I've lived here for decades and have never heard anyone say anything negative about the staff in the field who respond to calls and emergency situations.


Online Name
Registered user
Embarcadero Oaks/Leland
on Aug 18, 2023 at 11:07 am
Online Name, Embarcadero Oaks/Leland
Registered user
on Aug 18, 2023 at 11:07 am

Back in the bad old days of Enron's ripoff of California utility users, Palo Alto's contract allowed us to get ripped off for millions in and then after CPAU finally cancelled the contract with Enron, Enron them sued PA for early cancellation of the contract so we got ripped off again.

Web Link

Palo Alto to pay Enron $21.5 million
Uploaded: Mon, May 2, 2005, 10:10 am 0

"Palo Alto has agreed to pay Enron $21.5 million to settle a lawsuit the energy company filed against the city. The company sued the city for more than $50 million because the city cancelled energy contracts with the company in 2001, before the company went bankrupt..."

The article also has a nice summary of the facts behind PA's energy contracts, its PG&E contracts etc.


James
Registered user
Midtown
on Aug 18, 2023 at 11:58 am
James, Midtown
Registered user
on Aug 18, 2023 at 11:58 am

My average monthly gas bill for 2022 was well under $100/month


Online Name
Registered user
Embarcadero Oaks/Leland
on Aug 18, 2023 at 1:03 pm
Online Name, Embarcadero Oaks/Leland
Registered user
on Aug 18, 2023 at 1:03 pm

@James, interesting. Thanks.

I'm wondering how your big place is, how many people are home all day and how many people live there -- if you feel comfortable saying.


Purple Aster
Registered user
Ventura
on Aug 18, 2023 at 3:04 pm
Purple Aster, Ventura
Registered user
on Aug 18, 2023 at 3:04 pm

The proposed insurance plan will cost all gas rate payers more over the years. I believe Palo Alto Utilities already offers the option to spread the cost of high bills over a few months to lessen the impact.
The only upside of insurance will be the acceleration of customers switching to all electric appliances.


James
Registered user
Midtown
on Aug 21, 2023 at 11:07 am
James, Midtown
Registered user
on Aug 21, 2023 at 11:07 am

@Online Name

2000 sq ft. Two people. How much do you pay per month?


Online Name
Registered user
Embarcadero Oaks/Leland
on Aug 21, 2023 at 12:52 pm
Online Name, Embarcadero Oaks/Leland
Registered user
on Aug 21, 2023 at 12:52 pm

@James,

2000 sq feet, 2 people and a dog. My gas bill varies dramatically depending on the month.

During the summer it's under $100 but in the winter it soars dramatically to $400-$500 a month with the total CPAU bill last winter being around $1,000 even with the heat set very very low.


MyFeelz
Registered user
another community
on Aug 22, 2023 at 6:38 pm
MyFeelz, another community
Registered user
on Aug 22, 2023 at 6:38 pm

My gas bill is the same every month, and it only rises when the city charges more for supplying a gas line and servicing the account. My pilot is off, and I use portable electric heaters that are very energy efficient. I have toyed with the idea of having the meter shut off but it's minimal and who knows, if it's a three dog night I may prefer to use the gas heater someday.


James
Registered user
Midtown
on Aug 22, 2023 at 9:10 pm
James, Midtown
Registered user
on Aug 22, 2023 at 9:10 pm

@Online Name
For six months of the year, my gas bill is about $30/month for water heater, dryer and range. Our house has insulation in the walls and attic. Maybe an energy audit could help.


James
Registered user
Midtown
on Aug 22, 2023 at 9:10 pm
James, Midtown
Registered user
on Aug 22, 2023 at 9:10 pm

@Online Name

For six months of the year, my gas bill is about $30/month for water heater, dryer and range. Our house has insulation in the walls and attic. Maybe an energy audit could help.


Ocam's Razor
Registered user
Leland Manor/Garland Drive
on Aug 25, 2023 at 5:03 pm
Ocam's Razor, Leland Manor/Garland Drive
Registered user
on Aug 25, 2023 at 5:03 pm

To solve a problem, one must address the problem. The reason natural gas and gasoline are so expensive is because of government at the federal and state level. When supply is cut purposely, that impacts the supply/ demand equations that drive the world economies.

If we generate the necessary supply and return to energy independence, then prices will decline to below where they were three years ago. Sacramento politicians have forced oil companies to cut production 25 % requiring the purchase from more expensive international sources.

Windmills and solar is nice, but what our country, state and city need is not an insurance policy but to address the long term issues with supply. And let's remember that the US is again buying energy from foreign sources and those countries may participate in the BRIC strategy of an alternate currency than the dollar for commodity transactions. If that occurs, then the price of energy will double to start with. Smart and innovative leaders, which we do not have today in Washington nor Sacramento will be needed to remedy the situation.


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