Eager to take advantage of recently acquired federal and state grants, Palo Alto is preparing to speed up its tortuous, decade-long effort to choose preferred alternatives for redesigning three rail crossings – Churchill Avenue, Meadow Drive and Charleston Road.
The renewed push to make to a decision is driven by a pair of grants for work on the rail redesign: $6 million from the Federal Railroad Administration (FRA) and $23.7 million from California State Transportation Agency (CalSTA). There is, however, a catch. To meet the deadlines dictated by the grants, the city would have to make its final decisions on all three crossings by June 2024, according to the city's Office of Transportation.
To give the effort a boost, on Sept. 19, the City Council's Rail Committee approved a list of studies that, per the staff's estimates, will take about four months to complete. Officials believe the studies will help them get to the final decision. The studies will evaluate the pros and cons of each existing alternative when it comes to east-west connectivity, traffic congestion, pedestrian and bicycle circulation, costs, private property acquisitions, environment impacts and visual impacts.
The studies will be performed by the city's rail consultant, Aecom.
Chief Transportation Official Philip Kamhi said the staff believes these studies will fit within the city's timeframe for reaching a decision, which they will help to inform.
"We need all the pieces to fit together in a timely fashion," Kamhi said.
Not everyone, however, is convinced that the city can meet the deadline of getting to a decision by next summer. While Council member Pat Burt approved the staff's request to advance the studies, he worried that speeding things up will keep the city from fully evaluating things like bike improvements, for instance. He called the timeline "ambitious" and said he is "not sanguine about being able to get to this point."
"It seems we may be in a place where we need to select our local preferred alternatives without having resolved some of the issues where some in the community might say, ‘We have concerns with this,'" Burt said at the Sept. 19 meeting.
In response, Kamhi suggested that it may be impossible to address all community concerns regardless of what alternatives the city chooses.
"There's not necessarily an alternative or a decision or anything that is going to make everybody happy," Kamhi said. "There are going to be tough decisions that would have to be made for this project to ever move forward."
The city's recent experiences only underscore the complex and contentious nature of the rail discussion. Council members have struggled for well over a decade to determine what alignments to choose for grade separation, a redesign of rail crossings so that the tracks and roads no longer intersect.
After evaluating nearly 40 different options for the city's four rail crossings, the council has chosen to indefinitely defer Palo Alto Avenue crossings, to pursue an underpass at Churchill Avenue (or to close Churchill to cars near the tracks if the underpass proves too difficult to construct) and to study the Charleston and Meadow crossings in tandem. Currently, the council is considering three options for these two southernmost rail crossings: a trench for trains, an underpass for cars and a "hybrid" design that combines a raised track with a lowered road.
Burt opined that picking an alternative before resolving some of the outstanding design issues could lead to community pushback. The council, he added, may have to choose between opting for a different alternative or moving ahead with the initial one and just have faith that it will be solved adequately down the road.
"I'm not sure how to overcome this dilemma but I think we need to be open that that's potentially what we're going to face," Burt said.
That said, all three Rail Committee members – Burt, Ed Lauing and Vicki Veenker – agreed that the staff should move ahead with the proposed analyses, which will collectively cost about $109,000. Lauing called the package of studies "good value" and wondered if the city should pursue additional studies or go deeper on any of the proposed analyses.
Kamhi said that anything more in-depth would require more time than the city has and noted that there will be further analysis in later phases of the project, when the city is conducting environmental reviews for the various alternatives.
Veenker, meanwhile, urged the staff to not lose sight of an important question: What will the redesigned corridor look like? The proposed visual impact study, she noted, focuses on a shadow analysis of elevated trains rather than the overall aesthetics of the various alternatives.
"At the end of the day, that's what people see," Veenker said. "All the other stuff has to be right and it's critical and it's a priority, but I just want to make sure we have that factored in."
While the recently approved grants offer a welcome boost to Palo Alto's grade separation efforts, resident Steve Rosenblum said he was concerned that the funding will end up forcing the city's hand on selecting grade separation alternatives. Rosenblum, a resident of Old Palo Alto, who over the years has been active in the grade separation discussions, said he doesn't want to see the city "forced into making a quick decision on a project that's going to have a long-lasting effect on the community."
"If we make a decision about these things with unresolved major concerns, we might regret making that decision," Rosenblum said.
Comments
Registered user
Palo Verde
on Sep 21, 2023 at 10:26 am
Registered user
on Sep 21, 2023 at 10:26 am
It's good that the funding may force the city's hand and finally make a decision. It is shameful that the studies have taken so long. It's time to XXXX or get off the pot! No decision(s) will suit everyone's opinions. But something has to be done.
Registered user
Green Acres
on Sep 21, 2023 at 10:45 am
Registered user
on Sep 21, 2023 at 10:45 am
@TorreyaMan
The article indicates that the city has already put off indefinitely any changes to the Palo Alto Ave crossing. It should do the same for the two South PA crossings, that is, do nothing for at least another 15-20 years.
Current conditions are very different from when modifications to the crossings were suggested - there is now no realistic prospect of increased rail traffic here, and likely a decrease. Why should the City spend 100s of millions of dollars to make changes, when that same money could be better used for a Cubberley Community Center, other needed transportation work, etc?
Registered user
Leland Manor/Garland Drive
on Sep 21, 2023 at 10:51 am
Registered user
on Sep 21, 2023 at 10:51 am
If the city hasn't "resolved some of the issues where some in the community might say, ‘We have concerns with this,'" in 20 years, it never will. It's a classic case of the perfect being an enemy of the good. Of course there will be push-back - this is Palo Alto, after all. You CC guys get elected to have backbones, not be push-(back)overs.
Registered user
Leland Manor/Garland Drive
on Sep 21, 2023 at 11:22 am
Registered user
on Sep 21, 2023 at 11:22 am
@Mondoman As I understand it, Caltrain plans to increase frequency of trains once electrification is completed (targeted for 2024). Perhaps you can explain why you said "there is now no realistic prospect of increased rail traffic here, and likely a decrease"?
Registered user
College Terrace
on Sep 21, 2023 at 11:24 am
Registered user
on Sep 21, 2023 at 11:24 am
What the PA city is “deathly” afraid of is the taking of six SFH houses (which this article avoids mentioning) R1 zone along the corridor. 1000 exclusive electric heat pumps for rich residents will not solve our climate crisis — denser multi family zoning in transit centered “affluent” corridors and better train / bicycle capacity w a “unanimous” signature of every CC member will. This single ally of the “good” will afford the alternative agains the “bad” (climate change) to MOVE FORWARD.
Registered user
Barron Park
on Sep 21, 2023 at 11:49 am
Registered user
on Sep 21, 2023 at 11:49 am
Maybe I'm in the minority but I don't mind the rail crossings as they are today. I hope that option is included in the studies.
Registered user
Palo Verde
on Sep 21, 2023 at 12:20 pm
Registered user
on Sep 21, 2023 at 12:20 pm
I've lived in P.A for 48 years and I'm so disgusted with Palo Alto's inability to make a decision that I think we have to either fire the city planners or the Council or both. We cannot continue to consider every objection to every plan. Some individuals will always be chronic complainers. Given that we need to improve these intersection overlaps it seems that a trench for the trains will probably elicit the fewest objections including concerns about potential earthquakes destroying emergency traffic. Let's get on with it!
Registered user
Professorville
on Sep 21, 2023 at 12:24 pm
Registered user
on Sep 21, 2023 at 12:24 pm
“While Council member Pat Burt approved the staff's request to advance the studies, he worried that speeding things up will keep the city from fully evaluating things like bike improvements, for instance.” This is embarrassing. We elect leaders to lead. Among other responsibilities, this includes making tough decisions. 10+ years means the system is broken and the state/fed will dictate what will be done. Totally avoidable and unacceptable. Make a decision and move on!
Registered user
Greenmeadow
on Sep 21, 2023 at 1:30 pm
Registered user
on Sep 21, 2023 at 1:30 pm
kudos to commonsense...I could not have said it better. I hope various residents stand-down their concerns and love of 'process', and start demanding results.
Registered user
Green Acres
on Sep 21, 2023 at 6:58 pm
Registered user
on Sep 21, 2023 at 6:58 pm
@llfried
Why do we "need" to "improve" the track crossings? They seem to work fine now, and I'd like to not cut 100s of millions or even a billion dollars from other City spending to pay for a disruptive frill.
Registered user
Green Acres
on Sep 21, 2023 at 11:22 pm
Registered user
on Sep 21, 2023 at 11:22 pm
@Golux
In 2019 (prepandemic), Caltrain revenue was $143m, of which $103m was fares. 5 peak trains per hour, per direction (5 phpd).
In 2023 (fiscal year ended 6/23), fare revenue was down to $43m. 30% of 2019 ridership in June 2023. In July 2023, Caltrain had $16.3m expenses and a net loss of $2.3m. Farebox revenue was only $4m.
Caltrain Business Plan - 2040 Service Vision (Document from late 2019):
2022: Start of (partial) electrical service (6 phpd);
2029: Full electrical (6 phpd) + start of High Speed Rail (HSR Central Valley) trains (2 phpd)
2033: 6 phpd + HSR SF to LA trains (4 phpd)
Reality Fall 2023:
Hoped-for delayed partial electrical service - Sept-Dec 31, 2024
Passenger count 30% of 2019. Caltrain has around $26m in reserves, about 2 years at the current burn rate. As they note, "Caltrain has a projected fiscal cliff of as much as $550 million over the next 10 years."
Consequences:
Because of financial constraints, Caltrain is now running 4 phpd trains.
Increasing train service after electrification was a requirement for grants/subsidies for the electrification work. However, Caltrain cannot afford to do so. From Caltrain's Sep 2023 proposed 2024+ schedule:
"In fall 2024, Caltrain plans to continue providing 104 weekday trains per day and 4 trains phpd ... consistent with the FY24-25 Budget."
Because of the drastic drop in ridership and revenue, Caltrain has been forced to apply for a waiver to reduce promised train frequency. Again, from Caltrain's Sep 2023 document:
"With ridership still recovering from the effects of the pandemic, Caltrain is requesting a waiver from the Federal Transit Administration (FTA) to delay further service expansion until ridership returns. Discussions with FTA have been positive and Caltrain expects to receive the waiver in fall 2023."
Thus, 4 phpd trains is the max for the forseeable future. Palo Alto would not have to implement grade separation for at least another 15-20 years.
Registered user
South of Midtown
on Sep 22, 2023 at 8:14 pm
Registered user
on Sep 22, 2023 at 8:14 pm
Until Caltrain indicates they will approve any of the current proposals for South Palo Alto, how can the council make a decision? Caltrain has indicated that they would prefer an alternative that would accommodate 4 tracks. None of the current alternatives woukd do so. Any alternative that accommodates 4 tracks would be much more expensive and require acquiring much more land and likely 2-3 lanes of Alma Street. Until Caltrain agrees to a grade separation for two tracks only, no final decision can be made. I believe there is now an agreement with Caltrain to review Palo Alto’s choice. The sooner that can be done, the sooner Palo Alto can move forward. The delay is not from the city council but from Caltrain’s desire for four tracks in South Palo Alto sometime in the far distant future.
Registered user
Old Palo Alto
on Sep 25, 2023 at 9:46 pm
Registered user
on Sep 25, 2023 at 9:46 pm
"he doesn't want to see the city "forced into making a quick decision"
Quick decision? Are you kidding? We're way past "quick". 10 years is not "quick". CPA has engaged not one, not two, but THREE different engineering firms over 10 years with no viable plan to show for it.
This project has been studied to death. I am astonished that the rail committee is still considering a trench (which could halt all train service due to storm flooding) without input from Caltrain. Now that CPA has an agreement with Caltrain to review grade sep plans, has CPA made any progress at all in presenting even the nascent plans to Caltrain? I suspect not.
With all this deliberation, foot dragging and tail chasing, it's easy to predict that CPA will miss the deadline and lose the funding. The rail committee continues to pursue this mythical unicorn of an IDEAL SOLUTION. Guess what — there isn't one!
As others have said, the do-nothing plan looks more and more attractive with each passing year. Has Caltrain issued new timetables reflecting this enhanced service? Of course they haven't. All we've seen are vaporware projections.
Registered user
Adobe-Meadow
on Oct 1, 2023 at 10:14 am
Registered user
on Oct 1, 2023 at 10:14 am
Caltrain may be looking at reduced service for *now*, but let us not be pennywise and pound foolish. Just look at how the budgeted cost of those rail crossings goes up, and up, and up each year CC has failed to take action. With the predicted uptick in population density CalTrain will become the primary carrier up and down the Peninsula. We don't have the luxury of a dedicated subway system, so, for now, CalTrain and BART are where we have to invest going forward. I urge CC to get off the post and get going on this long delayed project.
Registered user
Green Acres
on Oct 1, 2023 at 11:58 am
Registered user
on Oct 1, 2023 at 11:58 am
@Eeyore
I wish your predictions had a chance of coming true, but I think we need to face facts that Caltrain will not be increasing the number of trains anytime in the next 15 years. The current crossings work fine for that. As people still prefer to use cars, even if an increase in population density happens, the increase in the number of people will be small, and few will use Caltrain. Caltrain also has to come up with $500 million over the next ten years not to go bankrupt, much less increase service.
Thus, spending a billion PA dollars on grade separation, traffic blockage during years of construction, and even taking Palo Altan's houses doesn't make sense to me. Instead, we should spend that money on a real PA need like a new Cubberley Community Center or starting to reduce the City's enormous pension funding shortfall.
Finally, if ridership does somehow massively increase, Caltrain can implement its plan for running longer trains -- more passengers per train without an increase in train frequency, so little impact on crossings.
Registered user
another community
on Oct 1, 2023 at 2:09 pm
Registered user
on Oct 1, 2023 at 2:09 pm
Building costs are rising at alarming rates. I guess the Fed wants to keep insisting that inflation has only risen 3% in the past year, so as to deprive elderly and disabled people from being able to afford medicine, housing and food. PA needs to make a choice. More studies are not choices, they are DELAY MECHANISMS. Time = money.
Rather than merely repeating the obvious common sense solutions offered above, I have one that may be far fetched but can be achieved quickly and at a lower cost. Mow down Paly and relocate it to the location where the coffee shop used to sit Middlefield. Put a huge Section 8 project where Paly used to be, and make sure there's plenty of RV parking. Change Paly to mostly distance learning. Plenty of nerds would like that.
Or, re-wind the clock to the day before Stanford's groundbreaking. Re-think what it will do if the University and all of the residential property sits on the west side, while the poorer people are literally relegated to the "wrong side of the tracks", east of El Camino. This city has a built-in social, financial, and educational divide. The train tracks are intended as a barrier.
If any structural changes are made to the train tracks, all of the agencies involved have to agree on a solution. Regardless of what solution is chosen, there needs to be alternatives to transporting around, over, or under the current configuration for the duration of the construction.
Three people deciding the fate of transportation decisions that will have far-reaching consequences is kind of amusing. Their predicted outcome in wrestling this alligator into compliance will be a lose-lose proposition. That's why they want more studies. These non-engineers know that if they make a mistake, it will be on their watch.
And that's why the CC has opted to pay for study after study. No one wants to be accountable for the impending disaster they are creating.
"Blame it on the studies" is the only good excuse they can agree on.
Registered user
Adobe-Meadow
on Oct 2, 2023 at 12:56 pm
Registered user
on Oct 2, 2023 at 12:56 pm
I don't know where the commentary about the existing crossings being fine is coming from. Personally I try not to drive at commute times because San Antonio and Charleston are pretty much gridlocked at that time of day. The unwanted traffic signal at Louis and Charleston has made things much worse. CalTrain is currently running 4 trains per hour -in each direction- which is, worst case, 8 crossing drops per hour and the consequent resetting of all the associated traffic signal timing. CC isn't pushing back on the plan to add 6,000+ additional (underparked) cars to the City. Now is the time to take available funds and finally fix this long standing problem.
Registered user
Barron Park
on Oct 3, 2023 at 6:05 pm
Registered user
on Oct 3, 2023 at 6:05 pm
"Do nothing here because we don't need it" seems to be trending on Town Square. Is Palo Alto going to take the lead in arguing that cities the length of the Peninsula should follow us and do nothing unless and until a crisis comes up in 2, 5,10,15... years into the future that would meet the standard of urgency that some would set?
That, I expect, would be a hard sell.
It will be many years before whatever option is chosen will be completed. Right now, there's not a crisis and we can make the best choice, with time and..funding..to study all remaining strong options before making the call. Let's give the Rail Committee time, space and support to research, discuss and decide what to put in its final report to to the City Council on how to deal with grade separation. That's where serious public debate should kick in. The Palo Alto process has been a disappointment to this point, but here's where our traditional respect for data and objective analysis has to be a key factor in what will inevitably be a political process to get community buy-in for whatever the City Council decides after it receives the Rail Committee's report.
Registered user
Leland Manor/Garland Drive
on Oct 6, 2023 at 9:48 am
Registered user
on Oct 6, 2023 at 9:48 am
Could either of these grants be used to fund the design or design and construction of a bicycle undercrossing at Seale Ave and Alma Street. This has been discussed in the past. The goal is a safer bicycle route to Palo Alto High School. The undercrossing would connect to Peers Park and the bike path would then merge onto Castilleja Ave which leads directly to Paly.
Registered user
Duveneck/St. Francis
on Oct 6, 2023 at 1:19 pm
Registered user
on Oct 6, 2023 at 1:19 pm
Diana Diamond bemoans the Palo Alto Process (September 29 Weekly), the process that can consume so much time in decision-making that decisions are greatly delayed. I mostly agree with the criticism but in the case of the all-important one regarding the Caltrain crossings, I think we need to consider things carefully. The Caltrain tracks will shortly be electrified and trains will increase in frequency. When the High-Speed-Rail trains run down these tracks in the decades ahead it will result in many more trains, at perhaps higher speed. In the future, cars cannot simply compete for time with crossing trains. Hence the needed improvements and the debate on what kind of crossings we need. The perfect solution, which is a project costing a billion dollars, not millions of dollars, is to raise the tracks to run through Palo Alto on a viaduct. Simple solution…and one that would allow better connectivity between east and west Palo Alto…but expensive. But to just let someone else make the decision, and not discuss it, seems the wrong idea. Pat Burt is right when he worries about a quick decision on this without allowing adequate time for discussion.
Registered user
Green Acres
on Oct 6, 2023 at 2:04 pm
Registered user
on Oct 6, 2023 at 2:04 pm
@Jerry
It seems that the Rail Committee is not thoroughly considering the likelihood that there will *never* be such a crisis. Serious public debate should take place now to ensure we don't spend hundreds of millions on something we don't need. Other cities will make their own decisions -- there's no reason for Palo Alto to "take the lead" or otherwise involve itself in their decisions.
Registered user
Green Acres
on Oct 6, 2023 at 6:00 pm
Registered user
on Oct 6, 2023 at 6:00 pm
@Steve
Caltrain has already said it won't be increasing train frequency upon electrification due to lack of money. In addition, HSR won't be running on the Peninsula, because they don't have the estimated $20 billion+ to build tracks to connect HSR from Merced to Caltrain at Gilroy. The Rail Committee should consider this changed situation.
Registered user
Old Palo Alto
on Oct 7, 2023 at 5:22 am
Registered user
on Oct 7, 2023 at 5:22 am
"Let's give the Rail Committee time"
"Pat Burt is right when he worries about a quick decision on this without allowing adequate time for discussion."
More time than the 10+ years they've already had, along with myriad studies from no fewer than three engineering firms? If three professional engineering firms (Hatch-Mott-MacDonald, Aecom and Hexagon) can't come up with a viable plan, it's delusional to think that a committee of three amateurs can come up with a better design.
Note that during the first 10 years, planning was taking place with NO input whatsoever from Caltrain.